Nobody really expected cases to fall so fast, so what does it mean?
Like Olympic gold medallists, Tom Daley and Matty Lee, Covid cases in the UK are taking a spectacular dive.It's little over a week since
So figuring it out is like assembling a pandemic jigsaw where multiple pieces of evidence combine to give us the true picture.There is other evidence - the number of people being admitted to hospital, or studies conducted by the Office for National Statistics.If any of those numbers start showing a fall as well, there will be more confidence that cases are truly coming down.
Instead, reported cases shot up dramatically and then fell equally precipitously. "It's unlikely that herd immunity could lead to that fast a transition," said Prof Donnelly.So, is there is some change in our behaviour - on top of immunity - that is more likely to have made the difference? But it is possible that sufficient immunity has put us into a place where the small things make the difference between cases going up or down.
"After headlines about the 'pingdemic', I'm certainly aware of people turning the app off or not taking a test before a friend goes on holiday," said Prof Donnelly.Does Scotland hold a vital clue?
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