Covid-19 projections: 40 000 people could die by November, say experts

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Covid-19 projections: 40 000 people could die by November, say experts
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Dr Zweli Mkhize says additional beds would be added to the national count as modelling projections show that SA could see 40 000 people die from coronavirus-related complications by November. Covid19SA lockdown

Johannesburg - Health Minister Dr Zweli Mkhize says additional beds would be added to the national count as modelling projections show that South Africa could see 40 000 people die from the coronavirus related complications by November. Mkhize's comments were made during a webinar on Tuesday night.

Their modeling shows that by May/June South Africa could see close to 500 Covid-19 deaths. The number of those infected within the same period is expected to be just over 40 000 nationally. Dr Sheetal Silal of the Modeling and Simulation Hub, one of the organisations that have contributed to creating scientific models for Covid-19, explained that projections and modelling were looked at from an optimistic and pessimistic perspective."These scenarios are founded on the assumption that after the 5-week lockdown, level 4 will continue for the next month, followed by a set of social distancing measures.

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