Covid-19 fourth wave likely to be less severe, but caution still advised: Current models suggest the fourth wave will have fewer hospital admissions
, Harry Moutrie said at a briefing the NICD hosted on Wednesday.
Based on a report that focused on projections of hospital admissions as the primary outcomes, deaths and infections are expected to be lower than previous waves, mainly because of increased vaccination coverage, particularly in the 60 years and above population. “We can see in scenarios one, two, three and four that we do not get anywhere close to those levels. Our admissions are sitting somewhere around half of what was observed in wave three and with respect to death, around half of the deaths that were observed in waves two and three.