How bad will the coronavirus crisis get in your state? New modeling offers some predictions. Our tool shows when your state is projected to hit its peak ⤵️
As COVID-19 surges in places throughout the country, Americans are left to wonder,"When will my state hit its worst point?"COVID-19 projections
Researchers at IHME make frequent updates to the model based on newly available data, and some of those changes have resulted in drastic shifts. The latest major update, made Sunday, shows fewer people dying over a shorter period of time, the model's lead researcher says. "In places where there's a rapidly rising epidemic — New York, New Jersey, now other places — the ability to predict that exact peak is not as accurate as we previously said," Murray said."Resource planners should pay attention to the upper bound so we're not caught off guard."as of Tuesday. It is expected to be the hardest hit state, in terms of raw numbers. The model projects between 12,000 and 22,000 deaths in the state, with daily deaths peaking on Thursday.
This second assumption is particularly important for a state like Massachusetts, which has closed nonessential businesses and schools, but has not ordered residents to stay at home. Republican Gov. Charlie Baker has resisted calls to mandate a stay-at-home order, though he has enacted
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