Nursing home deaths presumed to be COVID-19 cases account for the larger death toll.
, states that could consider relaxing social distancing between May 4 to May 10 are: Alaska, Hawaii, Montana, West Virginia, North Carolina and Vermont.
Meanwhile, the model says states that should wait until June 8 or later include Georgia and Florida . "If people start to go back to normal social interaction or even progressively go back, the risk of transmission will go up,” Murray told CNN.“That the [University of Washington] model keeps changing is evidence of its lack of reliability as a predictive tool,” epidemiologist Ruth Etzioni, who once worked with the institute,
after the model’s April 17 update. “That it is being used for policy decisions and its results interpreted wrongly is a travesty unfolding before our eyes.” “Model outputs *should* change in response to new data and when you're dealing with nonlinear systems, small changes can have a reasonably large effect,” tweeted Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight in response to Etzioni’s comments, above.
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