“The Republicans are all but certain to be 'rewarded' with a House majority in the midterm elections a year from now, given historical winds and malapportioned districts,” writes jackiekcalmes for latimesopinion.
, a state Biden lost by just 1 percentage point, Republicans are favored to win in 11 of 14 districts under a new map; they currently hold eight of 13 seats .
Democrats can only blunt the losses with gerrymandering of their own in fewer states where they hold sway, notably New York and Illinois. Republicans also have history on their side. Since Franklin D. Roosevelt’s time, the president’s party has lost congressional seats in all but two midterm elections. Voters’ inclination to send a nasty-gram to the White House has been especially pronounced when the president’s popularity is under 50% —So House Republicans can continue to behave abominably and still be confident of taking the prize next November. Jackie Calmes brings a critical eye to the national political scene.
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