A preview of the Week 12 matchup between the Indianapolis Colts and the Kansas City Chiefs, highlighting the Colts' potent offense and the Chiefs' defensive vulnerabilities. Key players like Jonathan Taylor and Travis Kelce are mentioned, along with the impact of the upcoming regulated sports betting launch in Missouri.
The Indianapolis Colts square off with the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday afternoon in a Week 12 matchup.have the highest-rated offense in the league in both EPA/play and DVOA. The Colts lead the league in points per game and yards per play , while ranking third in red-zone touchdown percentage .
have a strong stop unit, they have a couple of weaknesses that Indy can exploit. They are 24th in the league in defensive rush EPA, which is bad news againstThe Chiefs also have a tough time getting stops on third down, ranking 23rd in opponent third-down conversion rate . The Colts have scored fewer than 29 points just twice in 10 games this season. In those contests, they still finished with 20 points despite having six turnovers against Pittsburgh and three turnovers versus the Rams. The Chiefs are tied for 24th in the league in takeaways, and I don't see them forcing the turnovers needed to contain this Colts attack. The O/U rushing yards for Taylor is sitting at a lofty 90.5, but he has surpassed that number in six of his last nine games. He's also scored a whopping 17 touchdowns over that nine-game stretch. Taylor is the straw that stirs the drink for this Colts offense, and since we're backing them to put up points, it makes sense to parlay that with a productive game for the superstar RB. Indy has an explosive offense, but the defense has struggled to contain tight ends, allowing the second-most yards per game to the position.has logged 54+ receiving yards in six-straight games, and last week he reeled in nine receptions for 91 yards against Denver's elite defense.Regulated sports betting launches on December 1 in the Show Me State, but pre-registration is officially open now — Even if the Colts put up points, that's no guarantee they'll beat the Chiefs in their own backyard.While I like the Colts on the spread at +3.5, I expect the Chiefs to win a close game. This is a Chiefs squad that has played an extremely tough schedule, and their 5-5 record doesn't reflect how good they are. They are still Super Bowl contenders and, with Mahomes at the helm, I'm reluctant to fade them on the ML at home against anybody. The Colts are 8-2 and lead the league in scoring margin while ranking third in DVOA. Meanwhile, the Chiefs are 5-5 and rank fifth in DVOA. The Colts are also rated slightly higher than the Chiefs in EPA/play on both sides of the ball. Given how these teams have performed this season, it's hard to justify the Chiefs being favored by more than a field goal. Take the points with Indy. The Colts have the highest-scoring team in the NFL, and I'm expecting plenty of points from them. The Chiefs had scored 28+ points in five straight games before losing on the road in the last two weeks. They'll have a much easier time scoring at home against Indy than they did against Denver's defense last week. I'm leaning towards the Over. : Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links. With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted"The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.Eagles vs Cowboys Predictions, Picks & Best Bets for NFL Week 12Browns vs Raiders Predictions, Picks & Best Bets for NFL Week 12Vikings vs Packers Predictions, Picks & Best Bets for Today's NFL Week 12 GameSteelers vs Bears Predictions, Picks & Best Bets for Today's NFL Week 12 GameSteelers vs Bears Predictions, Picks & Best Bets for Today's NFL Week 12 GameNFL Survivor Picks & Best Bets for Week 12 Today: Target the Niners and RavensVikings vs Packers Predictions, Picks & Best Bets for Today's NFL Week 12 GameIf you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.
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