The Colorado State Rams are favored to defeat the Miami (OH) RedHawks in the Snoop Dog Arizona Bowl. The Rams have transitioned to a run-heavy offense, which should be effective against Miami's struggling defense.
Give Jay Norvell credit for reworking his team's identity on the fly due to necessity, and the value lies with the Rams as short underdogs ahead of Saturday's matchup in Tucson.One of the wildest spectacles of bowl season kicks off in the desert this Saturday as the Miami (OH) RedHawks (8-5) take on the Colorado State Rams (8-4) in the Snoop Dog Arizona Bowl .
This is an intriguing matchup between two programs that came up just short in their respective conference title races, and my Miami (OH) vs. Colorado State predictions are taking the points with a Rams program that has been able to seamlessly rework its persona. Typically an Air Raid coach whose offenses light the way, Norvel transitioned to a run-heavy, defense-first style after star wide receiver Tory Horton was lost due to injury early in the year, and it’s paid dividends as the CSU prefers to keep the ball on the ground (29th in rush rate), and it has two good running backs in Avery Morrow (956 yards, 13 touchdowns) and Justin Marshall (662 yards, four touchdowns). The advanced metrics don’t love Miami’s defense quite as much as you’d think given the RedHawks’ reputation on that side of the ball. They rank just 98th in rushing success rate, failing to create much of a push at the line of scrimmage (103rd in line yards, 126th in stuff rate). The Rams should be able to establish their style of football, giving Morrow and Marshall a heavy workload while hitting a few shots through the air. Their stiff defense (58th in EPA per play, 38th in explosiveness) holds a statistical advantage over Miami’s offense (100th in EPA per play, 95th in success rate) and should show up well considering the absences their MAC opponent is dealing with. Although the RedHawks like to air it out under sixth-year quarterback Brett Gabbert, two of his top receiving targets have transferred ou
College Football Bowl Game Colorado State Rams Miami (OH) Redhawks Snoop Dog Arizona Bowl
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