Close home wins over top teams didn't boost Oregon and LSU a ton, while we see some warning signs for Georgia.
A good power rating is never more antisocial than when a team loses and doesn't really move in the rankings. But when these teams lose road toss-up games to highly rated opposition, it kind of makes sense, doesn't it?
If Army has had the second-weakest schedule to date, who has had the weakest? Liberty. And the Flames are not dominating in nearly the same way as the Black Knights. And just as Ohio State and Ole Miss can lose without really falling, Liberty fell significantly whilein Week 7; the Flames underachieved by 14.5 points against SP+ projections and have underachieved in all but one game this season. They are unbeaten, but they probably wouldn't be with an even slightly harder schedule.1. SEC: 16.
We obviously don't know how the CFP committee will treat the bigger-and-better SEC -- specifically, how it will treat a three-loss SEC team against, say, an one- or two-loss ACC or Big 12 team -- but I could have easily given that 11 seed to Indiana or Clemson in this exercise. The Dawgs better start looking the part immediately, or they might be on the outside of the first-ever 12-team CFP.
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