Heading into Week 4, Heather Dinich picks the CFP field of 12 and the eight teams on the bubble, then ranks the best of the Group of 5.
When the College Football Playoff selection committee begins to meet in November, it will have had 10 full weeks of games to evaluate, helping to determine its first top 25 ranking.
The committee's weekly ranking is still the most critical step in determining the seeding for the 12-team bracket. The group does not look ahead, so what you'll find below doesn't either. It'sa ranking. This is what the seeding and bracket would look like based on the committee's projected top 12 for this week.
The Canes would earn this seed as the ACC champion. With its 62-0 drubbing of Ball State on Saturday, Miami's chances of reaching the playoff increased to 53%. ESPN Analytics gives Miami the best chance to make the ACC title game and win it , ahead of both Clemson and Louisville. The Cowboys didn't do anything to hurt themselves in Saturday's lopsided win against Tulsa, but K-State has put together back-to-back impressive wins against better competition. This will settle itself on the field on Sept. 28 when Oklahoma State travels to K-State -- or sooner, if the Cowboys lose to Utah this week.
The loss to NIU will haunt the Irish all season, but if Notre Dame continues to play like it did against Purdue -- and runs the table -- the committee could reward them with a spot. According to ESPN Analytics, Notre Dame has the 11th-best chance in the country to reach the CFP . That increased 15% from what it was after the NIU loss.
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