Climate change could be hurtling Earth back to the future, raising sea levels by 65 feet

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Climate change could be hurtling Earth back to the future, raising sea levels by 65 feet
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The Pliocene, 3 million years ago, was the last time atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations were above 400 parts per million.

, published today, shows that up to one third of Antarctica's ice sheet melted during this period, causing sea levels to rise by as much as 20 metres above present levels in coming centuries.

We were able to measure past changes in sea level by drilling cores at a site in New Zealand, known as the Whanganui Basin, which contains shallow marine sediments of arguably the highest resolution in the world. Using a new method we developed to predict the water level from the size of sand particles moved by waves, we constructed a record of global sea-level change with significantly more precision than previously possible.

The Pliocene was the last time atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations were above 400 parts per million and Earth's temperature was 2 degrees Celsius warmer than pre-industrial times. We show that warming of more than 2 degrees Celsius could set off widespread melting in Antarctica once again—and our planet could be hurtling back to the future, towards a climate that existed three million years ago.

With today's emissions levels, that remaining CO2 budget [1.5 degrees Celsius] will be entirely gone in less than eight-and-a-half years.and we will have exceeded the 2 degree Celsius Paris target. One of the most critical questions facing humanity is how much and how fast global sea levels will rise.

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