Our Clemson vs. SMU predictions expect the Clemson Tigers to win the ACC Championship on Saturday, December 7, 2024.
Money has pushed the SMU Mustangs to 2.5-point favorites, but the turnover battle will lead the Clemson Tigers to victory.Dabo Swinney should have started every sentence with those three words this past week, thanking the team that upset Miami and pushed the Clemson Tigers into tonight's ACC championship game.
If this were a true neutral field, logic would establish SMU as closer to a 4- or 4.5-point favorite. If insisting on a bet on the spread, the only defensible choice is to take the Mustangs at -2.5. It's hard to imagine them winning the game by only one or two points, and that thought process alone suggests value at -2.5.If it is hard to imagine SMU winning this game by only one or two points, then there is also innate value in the Clemson moneyline at +115.
Of these two’s last three months, Clemson playing the Gamecocks that close is the most impressive feat, as backhanded of a compliment as that sounds. Somehow, this is a game between two relative unknowns, at least unknowns at a certain level of competition. What is known is it can be easily assumed Clemson will force at least one interception.
Douglas Farmer spends his days thinking about college football and his nights thinking about the NBA. His betting habits and coverage follow that same pattern. He covered Notre Dame football for various outlets from 2008 to 2024, most notably spending eight seasons as NBC Sports’ beat writer on the Irish. That was also when his gambling focus took off.
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