China unlikely to aggressively devalue yuan to offset impact of U.S. tariffs, economists say

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China unlikely to aggressively devalue yuan to offset impact of U.S. tariffs, economists say
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Among the 11 analysts polled by CNBC, the majority do not see the currency weakening significantly, but rather a gradual depreciation engineered by the PBoC.

China may not be be able to weaken the yuan substantially to offset the impact of higher U.S. tariffs, according to a majority of market watchers CNBC spoke to.

The move sparked speculation that Beijing would allow the currency to weaken further to cushion the impact of U.S. President Donald Trump's tariffs. However, analysts caution that a significant weakening of the yuan could have ripple effects, including triggering capital outflows, something policymakers are keen to avoid. Indeed, the yuan has since strengthened both onshore and offshore.

"In fact, rapid depreciation could weaken consumer confidence and risk capital flight," she told CNBC. While major currencies like the U.S. dollar and Japanese yen have a free-floating exchange rate, China tightly regulates the value of the yuan within its domestic market. Chinese policymakers' commitment to stability was underscored by a series of measures to prop up the yuan earlier this year when a sharp surge in the U.S. dollar sent other currencies tumbling around the world. That effort aimed to dissuade market participants from placing one-way bets on the yuan's slide.

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