China's pig herd may shrink by 50% due to African swine fever: Rabobank

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China's pig herd may shrink by 50% due to African swine fever: Rabobank
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China's pig herd could halve by the end of 2019 from a year earlier as an e...

Pigs are seen at a family farm in Fuyang, Anhui province, China July 5, 2019. REUTERS/Stringer ATTENTION EDITORS - THIS IMAGE WAS PROVIDED BY A THIRD PARTY. CHINA OUT.

The bank said China’s herd, by far the world’s biggest, was already estimated to have shrunk by 40% from a year ago, well above official estimates which have ranged from 15% to 26%. Rabobank said China’s pork production in 2019 was expected to fall by 25 percent from the previous year, a smaller drop than pig herd loss due to the large number of animals slaughtered in first half of 2019.

Production may take more than 5 years to recover to levels prior to the deadly outbreaks as challenges including a lack of solutions to prevent the disease and a lack of capital will restrict restocking, it added.

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