China’s Covid deaths expected to hit 36,000 a day during holiday

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China’s Covid deaths expected to hit 36,000 a day during holiday
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This is according to an updated analysis of the largest outbreak the world has yet experienced.

The revised figures from the independent forecasting firm Airfinity Ltd. added 11,000 deaths a day to its Dec 29 estimate, a jump that shows the breathtaking pace of the outbreak and the lack of clear information about how it’s spreading in the world’s most populous nation.

China will likely experience"one longer, more severe Covid wave,” rather than repeat peaks and valleys, as the traditional festival marked by millions of people returning home to reunite with their families fuels high levels of virus transmission, according to the predictive health analytics company that’s been tracking the pandemic.

The Tuesday update takes into account reports that suggest infections have already peaked in some provinces, including Henan, Gansu, Qinghai and Yunnan, it said. Analytic indicators suggest the virus spread more quickly than anticipated to rural areas, partly driven by people traveling for the Chinese New Year celebrations.

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