Take the Over on Josh Allen's rushing yards prop in our Chiefs vs. Bills picks, odds & expert predictions on Sunday, November 2.
With the Chiefs bringing their trademark blitz-heavy approach, expect Josh Allen to rack up yards on the ground as the Bills host one of the NFL’s fiercest rivalries.You don’t have to be a fan of the Kansas City Chiefs or Buffalo Bills to appreciate one of the greatest football rivalries.
That gratitude sure isn’t lost on NFL bettors, who have enjoyed sweating out these AFC heavyweight bouts in recent years. Kansas City comes to Buffalo for another monster matchup in Week 9 and while Patrick Mahomes has gotten the better of Josh Allen in their postseason pairings, Allen has the edge in the regular season.is among the most dangerous dual-threat quarterbacks of all time and proved it by setting the NFL record for most games with a passing touchdown and a rushing touchdown in last week’s win over the Carolina Panthers. Allen, who scored two TDs on the ground in Week 8, didn’t need to do much with his legs, running only three times for seven yards in a one-sided finish. However, this Kansas City’s stop unit is playing at an extremely high level right now but does have a weakness when it comes to stopping the run. More specifically, running QBs. On the season, the Chiefs have given up the third most rushing yards to quarterbacks entering Week 9. Fleet-footed quarterbacks have done damage with their legs against KC, with the likes of Justin Herbert, Russell Wilson, Trevor Lawrence, Marcus Mariota, and Lamar Jackson scrambling for 28 yards or more versus the Chiefs. Allen has a habit of making big plays with his legs in the big games, many of which have come against Kansas City. He’s posted in rushing yard tallies of 39, 42, 55, 68. 72, and 88 in some of his recent run-ins withAllen is currently fourth among QBs in carries per game at 7.0 and on average, two of those runs are by design. He’s No. 4 in QB scrambles and will find himself tucking and running plenty Sunday. Kansas City’s blitz-heavy schemes and tight coverage will force him out of the pocket and abandoning downfield looks. That why the Chiefs have seen the most rushing attempts by rival QBs so far this season . Player projections for Allen to range, with some as low as 32 yards while others have a ceiling closer to 45 rushing yards. Given the circumstances and opponent, I’m banking on another big day on the ground from No. 17. Allen always burns the Chiefs with his legs and could see his number called more often, in an effort to exploit a soft Kansas City run stop. Allen sees his number called a lot in the red zone – a historical amount after last week. Kansas City has been weak against running QBs while allowing three TDs to the position.in Week 9, facing a Chiefs team having to travel on a short week after playing on MNF in Week 8.Allen’s projections sit as high as 45 rushing yards on Sunday.Chiefs vs Bills moneyline prediction The Bills are rare home underdogs on the moneyline but not by much. Buffalo has been a dog in front of the Orchard Park crowds only five times since 2020 and have come out with a 4-1 SU mark. I see Buffalo winning on a last-second field goal.: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links. In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst; has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike. Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet. He is under center for Covers during NFL season as our top NFL expert, taking the points in his infamous NFL Underdogs column and representing the Covers Community at the Super Bowl. 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