The blossom buds have reached the “extension of florets” stage but cooler weather should slow their progress
This year, cold weather will also probably slow bud progression but not to the same degree; a killer freeze doesn’t appear likely. Whereas low temperatures dipped into the low 20s in the 2017, models project lows mostly in the low-to-mid 30s over the next one to two weeks. That said, forecasts more than 5 to 7 days into the future could change.
Just as a damaging freeze seems improbable, very warm weather — highs in the 60s or warmer — which would cause the buds to accelerate and reach peak bloom at the record early date of March 15, is also unlikely. For the next one to two weeks, predicted highs are mostly in the 40s and 50s. As such, we wouldn’t expect peak bloom for at least 10 days to two weeks, and possibly longer. Still, it’s becoming likelyis too late, as predicted temperatures are no longer as cold as they once were.
Once the buds reach Stage 4 — known as peduncle elongation — we’ll revise our peak bloom forecast if needed.
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