Andrew Caley expects another big score in his Cavaliers vs. Thunder predictions.
The Cavaliers can exploit the Thunder in the paint and on the glass, especially with Isaiah Hartenstein sidelined. Meanwhile, OKC can beat Cleveland at the perimeter. With both teams having clear pathways to scoring, this will go Over the total.
The Cavaliers won a thrilling back-and-forth matchup, covering the 3-point home chalk in the process. The game showed how close and exciting of a matchup this can be. But the Cavs clearly had one big advantage over the Thunder, and that was down low.. Both recorded double-doubles with Allen going for 25 points and 11 boards while Mobley put up 21 and 10.
On the other side, while those two Cavs’ bigs are an intimidating presence on the inside, a good shooting team like the Thunder can do some damage on the outside. Cleveland ranks a good, but not great, 10th in opponent effect field-goal percentage and 22nd in opponent 3-point shooting percentage. That game saw 251 points, nearly 20 points higher than the closing total of 231.5. Now, there has been a little adjustment with the total sitting at 233 this time around, but considering the quality and style of the teams, I don’t think that’s enough.I hinted at the fact that the Thunder struggle on the boards, but unsurprisingly, both Allen and Mobley have hefty rebounding totals for this one. So instead, let’s look at a Cavs guard who also puts in work on the glass.
Both teams have been excellent bets this season. The Cavs are 27-12 ATS while the Thunder are 27-10-3. With little separating these two great teams, I would prefer to look at the underdog on the moneyline.
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