Carl Leubsdorf’s political predictions for 2022 | Opinion
FILE - Political columnist Carl Leubsdorf didn't predict the violent insurrection on Jan. 6, 2021, but he predicts its fallout will continue through 2022. Each December, I speculate about political headlines that might emerge in the following year. Last year, I correctly predicted the Dow would hit 35,000 and New Jersey Gov. Phil Murphy would be reelected, but I missed almost everything else.
JANUARY – Congressional Republicans boycott anniversary observance of the January 6 insurrection but 23 join protest outside. In Florida, former President Donald Trump reiterates unsupported claim he was fraudulently denied re-election, commends “peaceful patriots” who tried to prevent President Joe Biden’s certification. In State of the Union speech, Biden says agreement on revised Build Back Better bill is “within reach.” West Virginia Sen. Joe Manchin declines comment.
FEBRUARY – New COVID-19 cases drop for first time in two months. Kansas City defeats Tampa Bay in Super Bowl LV. Vice President Kamala Harris unveils new government plan to limit illegal immigration and increase processing of legal arrivals. New government reports show inflation rate dropping sharply to 4%, unemployment at 3.9%. Atlanta grand jury indicts Trump for interfering with election certification in Georgia. Former president calls it “fake news.” Donald Trump Jr.
MARCH – In the Texas GOP primary, George P. Bush upsets Attorney General Ken Paxton, Gov. Greg Abbott routs Don Huffines and Allen West. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi announces she won’t seek reelection. Manchin says he is near agreement with White House on Build Back Better bill. At a White House meeting, Biden’s new dog Commander bites Senate GOP Leader Mitch McConnell. McConnell bites back.
APRIL – Trump endorses Schneck. At House January 6 Committee hearings, three leaders of the 2021 insurrection say Reps. Paul Gosar and Jim Jordan told them Trump supported their efforts to challenge congressional certification of Biden’s election. Text messages confirm their discussions. The Supreme Court votes 5-4 to allow the January 6 Committee to get Trump’s emails, texts. Biden and Manchin announce agreement on reduced $1.7 trillion Build Back Better bill.
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