Vancouver Canucks goaltender Thatcher Demko faces off against the Dallas Stars in a Western Conference clash. This article provides a numbers-based analysis of the matchup, focusing on defensive strengths, goalie performance, and historical trends. The author predicts an Under 5.5 total and highlights the value of betting on the Under in this matchup.
Vancouver Canucks goaltender Thatcher Demko (35) blocks the deflection from Nashville Predators left wing Filip Forsberg. The Vancouver Canucks take a three-game winning streak to the American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Stars in a Western Conference clash Friday, January 31. With Vancouver showing off defensively on the highway and Dallas a stingy team on home ice, my Canucks vs.
Stars predictions have traveled well this season with a 14-7-4 record while allowing the seventh-fewest goals per game (2.72) and second-fewest expected goals per 60 minutes at 5-on-5 (2.23) on the road. Canucks No. 1 goalie Thatcher Demko also turned away 31 of 32 shots during Vancouver’s 3-1 road win over the Nashville Predators on Wednesday. His .877 SV% and 3.27 GAA both have screaming statistical correction ahead, too. Demko posted high-end .918 and 2.45 marks last season, after all. Additionally, a big reason Dallas has been so stingy on home ice has been its No. 1 goalie, Jake Oettinger. He’s posted a .917 SV% and 2.12 GAA across his 23 home starts. I also value Dallas' eighth-ranked 52.4 Corsi For percentage at 5-on-5 at the American Airlines Center.Finally, I also value the long-standing trend of the Stars playing to the Under in 63 of their past 102 games (+27.55 Units / 24% ROI), including a total record of 15-29-6 this season. The Canucks opened as a +162 underdog at Pinnacle, and the line nearly immediately moved to +151. Vancouver has won 26 of its past 47 road games (+5.60 Units / 9% ROI), and Dallas is missing a number of key contributors, so there’s potential for continued Canucks action coming in ahead of puck drop. I obviously like the Under 5.5 in this matchup. There hasn’t been early movement to the total at Pinnacle after opening with an even -107 vig on both sides of the number. I'll be surprised if the Under -107 doesn't provide closing line value.Make your Canucks wagers at Pinnacle, which offers Canadians unbeatable value with the most competitive odds in the industry and high limits — come find out why Pinnacle is home to better odds and better payouts! The Dallas Stars have hit the game total Under in 63 of their past 102 games (+27.55 Units / 24% ROI).
NHL Canucks Stars Prediction Under 5.5 Demko Oettinger Dallas Vancouver Sports Betting
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