Can ‘Spider-Man: No Way Home’ Swing Into Best Picture Race After Massive Opening?

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Can ‘Spider-Man: No Way Home’ Swing Into Best Picture Race After Massive Opening?
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It’s time to have a serious conversation about “Spider-Man: No Way Home” and what it can achieve at the Oscars this year. Looking at the Oscars shortlists announced on Tuesday, th…

universe showed up in two categories — sound and visual effects — despite its late release.

I’ve never been a pundit who believes in “follow the money” to predict best picture nominees. But, especially in these last two years amid the pandemic, box office “failures” are even less of a hindrance for awards campaigns. Still, as exhibited by our favorite web-slinger, a monumental success can provide a significant boost.

After nearly two years of headlines about cinemas closing and films “bombing,” seeing a palpable heartbeat for the movie theater industry could move voters. With 10 available spaces for best picture on the ballot, a film like “No Way Home” doesn’t need No. 1 votes like it did in the sliding-scale years, where it required 5% of the Academy to slot it at No. 1. Instead, it can garner enough support with eight, nine or 10 spots.

Look, this is not to argue that “No Way Home” is about to become our new “Titanic” and sweep the Academy Awards. So how many nominations can it feasibly get?There’s been a strong correlation between visual effects and production design over the past decade. So you may see the movie as an alternative to “Dune” in that race. Writer Mark Johnson always points to an interesting statistic — 18 out of the last 21 visual effects winners were also nominated for production design.

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