The article discusses the current NBA MVP race, highlighting Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's strong performance and odds to win the award. While SGA leads the league in scoring and the Oklahoma City Thunder are vying for the best record, two-time MVP Nikola Jokic remains a formidable contender. The article analyzes the factors influencing the voting, including voter fatigue and the influence of betting odds, which are often swayed by short-term performance. It compares the NBA MVP race to the recent NFL MVP race, where Lamar Jackson's All-Pro selection shifted the odds in his favor despite having a similar record to Josh Allen.
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The betting odds for awards are “fake markets”, as NBC lead sports betting analyst Jay Croucher once hilariously yet accurately told me. Oddsmakers are truly guessing how humans will vote, while monitoring media interviews and various narratives as faux data points. It’s not just about the performance of a player or team.Kevin Durant claps back at heckling sports bettor with ‘brokeyyyyy’ jab
SGA is certainly a worthy MVP, if that’s what transpires. However, Jokic is widely considered the league’s best player and is averaging a triple-double with 29.6 points, 12.8 rebounds and 10.1 assists with career-highs in points, assists, steals, minutes, 3-pointers and 3-point percentage. In his initial Dec. 20 poll, Jokic drew 57 of the 100 first-place votes. Gilgeous-Alexander had 24 and Antetokounmpo had 19. I question how much has really changed but we will likely learn around mid-February, which is when his second installment usually posts. Sherman shared that he would make the odds for both Gilgeous-Alexander and Jokic at -110, if voter fatigue were not part of the equation with Jokic as a three-time MVP.
NBA MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Nikola Jokic Voter Fatigue Betting Odds
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