Can Afghan forces hold off the Taliban after American troops leave?

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Can Afghan forces hold off the Taliban after American troops leave?
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Generals reckon the packing-up and handing-over is nearly half-finished

is accelerating. President Joe Biden has declared that all American troops will be out by September. Now it seems possible that they will be gone as soon as July. .

In a place where the horrors of the past four decades hang heavy, history's echoes have a way of being heard. Afghans are debating what the parallels might be for the government of Ashraf Ghani, the president, as it facesMr Amarkhel believes the departing Russians left him and his comrades better equipped to hold off militants than the Americans are leaving his present-day counterparts. “I never for a moment thought we couldn't succeed,” he says.

The pace of the American withdrawal nonetheless appears to have encouraged the Taliban’s leaders, who believe that they have a chance of a military victory. America’s attempts to get the two sides to sit down and negotiate a settlement have stalled. The military balance between the adversaries now looks set to be determined in a summer of fighting, with the Taliban trying to put pressure on Kabul by capturing territory and towns.

Dozens of small outposts and bases have changed hands like this in recent months. With the police and regular army struggling, the government increasingly relies on its well-trained units of special forces. These commandos have often worked closely with NATO forces and, although they are thinly stretched, they have repeatedly proven able to beat the insurgents. They are rotated from hotspot to hotspot, pushing back militant offensives and retaking districts.

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