California Snowpack: A Promising Start, But Drier Years Ahead?

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California Snowpack: A Promising Start, But Drier Years Ahead?
CALIFORNIASNOWPACKWATER SUPPLY
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The first snowpack measurements of the season in California show a promising start, but experts warn of a potential for drier years to come due to uneven precipitation across the state.

Every winter, scientists across California ascend high into the Eastern Sierra mountains via skis, snowshoes, motorized snow cats and helicopters. Along with equipment to survive harsh days and nights in the Sierra backcountry, they bring a snow-sampling kit made up of long, thin aluminum pipes. Their mission: measure the weight of the snow beneath their feet. The simple measurement has serious implications for the whole state.

Come spring, it will make up nearly two-thirds of Los Angeles’ water supply — an essential lifeline as Southern California continues to endure unseasonably dry conditions. On Thursday, hydrologists made their first measurements of the season at Phillips Station, which the state has measured every winter for over 80 years to forecast L.A.’s water supply for the coming year. This year, the team found a snowpack equivalent to nine inches of water at the station. It’s roughly 91% of the average snowpack at the station by this time of year and slightly behind the rest of the state, which is currently at around 108% of its average snowpack, based on other measures that are part of a statewide snow-survey program. While it's a promising start to the season, the numbers belie the reality that there have been extreme differences in precipitation across the state in recent months, indicating that California may be headed for a drier few years. And experts say it's little indication for how much snow the rest of the winter will see. “We’ve had that big atmospheric river series of storms in November and a few others in December, so that's a great start for the north but the south is definitely under average,” said Andy Reising, manager of snow surveys and water supply forecasting at the department. “We’ll need a progression of monthly storms to keep going because otherwise we will end up … under average by the end of the year.” Roughly every two to seven years, the tropical Pacific Ocean cycles through unpredictable periods of warm and cool period

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CALIFORNIA SNOWPACK WATER SUPPLY DROUGHT CLIMATE CHANGE

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