What the analytics predict for BYU vs. Arizona State by an expert model that projects scores and picks winners.
BYU and Arizona State square off in this critical late-season Big 12 matchup on Saturday. Let’s check in with the latest prediction for the game from an expert analytical football model that projects scores and picks winners.
SP+ predicts that BYU will defeat Arizona State by a projected score of 27 to 25 and to win the game by an expected margin of 2.4 points in the process.SP+ is a “tempo- and opponent-adjusted measure of college football efficiency” that attempts to predict game outcomes by measuring “the most sustainable and predictable aspects of football.”
BYU has played much closer games in that time, averaging 3.3 points better than opponents, while Arizona State has improved to being 11.7 points better than the competition in that span.BYU has been 8.6 points better than its opponents on average when playing on the road this season, while Arizona State has been 12.8 points better when at home.Other analytical football models are taking a different view of how the game turns out.
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