Despite a coaching change, one sportsbook has the Bills near the top of the league yet again.
, they failed to win the division and took a step back from their 2024 playoff finish. As a result, they fired their head coach, brought in a new regime and are expecting much improvement through a transitional offseason.
How things work out remains to be seen. But one sportsbook has already projected the Bills to finish near the top of the league.New Bills head coach Joe Brady talks about some of his vision as coach at the Bills field house in Orchard Park on Jan. 29, 2026. | Tina MacIntyre-Yee/Democrat and Chronicle / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images, the Bills are one of 11 teams with their win total set at 10.5 for the upcoming campaign. The Bills are -125 to earn over 10.5 wins, while they are +120 to earn under 10.5 wins. Joining the Bills as teams with their total set at 10.5 are the Baltimore Ravens, Detroit Lions, Green Bay Packers, Kansas City Chiefs, Los Angeles Chargers, Los Angeles Rams, New England Patriots, Philadelphia Eagles, Seattle Seahawks and the San Francisco 49ers., a list that included the Bills, Eagles, Chargers, Seahawks, Rams and 49ers. The New England Patriots, Jacksonville Jaguars, Houston Texans, Denver Broncos and Chicago Bears are the other teams who earned 11 wins or more this past season. Buffalo Bills running back James Cook III runs the ball during the first half against the Jacksonville Jaguars in an AFC Wild Card Round game at EverBank Stadium. | Melina Myers-Imagn ImagesBuffalo hasn’t recorded fewer than 11 wins since the 2019 season. Their average win total since 2020 is 12 per season, making them a safe bet to cash an over bet based upon where things are set at this point. However, in order to surpass that mark, the Bills will have to adjust on the fly, as they will enter the ’26 season withBuffalo has made several other changes to its coaching staff, while other personnel moves are sure to be on the way in the near future. The Bills have Josh Allen at quarterback, which is a significant benefit for any team. But if the ’25 season proved anything, it’s that the BillsAlex Brasky is editor of Bills Digest and host of the Buffalo Pregame podcast. He has been on the Bills beat the past six seasons and now joins ON SI to expand his coverage of Buffalo’s favorite football team.Bills Listed Among Top Threats to Dethrone Seahawks as Super Bowl Champions
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