Buccaneers vs. Panthers Predictions: Baker Mayfield Over Passing Yards Against Carolina

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Buccaneers vs. Panthers Predictions: Baker Mayfield Over Passing Yards Against Carolina
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The Tampa Bay Buccaneers need a win against the Carolina Panthers to stay in contention for the NFC South title. Baker Mayfield is predicted to have a big game with his passing yards.

A chance to dethrone the Atlanta Falcons from the NFC South's top spot awaits the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as Baker Mayfield has a prime opportunity to put his team in an ideal playoff position against the Carolina Panthers . The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are in desperate need of a win when they take on the Carolina Panthers at home on Sunday as they attempt to unseat the Atlanta Falcons atop the NFC South.

With Bryce Young’s improved play as of late, I expect Carolina to keep this game close and cause Tampa Bay to put a lot on Baker Mayfield’s plate. The team has relied on him to play hero ball for much of the season to keep them in the NFC South race while dealing with a plethora of injuries. That’s why he’s third in the NFL in passing yards per game this season (261.3) and poised to easily surpass this line against Carolina. It’s actually surprising to see this prop set so low given Mayfield has gone Over 243.5 passing yards nine times this season. That includes hitting 288-plus passing yards four times in his last five games while averaging 283 passing yards over that stretch. Of course, the one game he didn’t hit in during those five outings was the OT win over the Panthers. But that shouldn’t be dragging his line down that significantly, so it’s a great value to back Mayfield hitting the Over this time around. Carolina is 30th in EPA per dropback on defense this season and Buccaneers OC Liam Coen will want to take advantage with the way his QB is playing. Mayfield is ninth in the NFL in EPA per play among QBs and seventh in success rate. The former Heisman winner has been dealing and there’s no reason to believe that won’t continue on Sunday.Rookie wide receiver, Cadillac Williams, will likely be heavily involved. The rookie has filled in admirably for Chris Godwin and has crossed 40.5 receiving yards in three straight games while going over 1.30 yards per route run in each game, per PFF

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