+34Tampa Bay rookie quarterback Jalon Daniels makes his first NFL start against a Packers team favored by 3.5 points, with both teams desperate for a win in Week 4.
Tampa Bay rookie quarterback Jalon Daniels will make his first career NFL start on Sunday when the winless Buccaneers host the Green Bay Packers in Week 4.
Green Bay enters as a 3.5-point road favorite at BetMGM Sportsbook. The Packers are 1-2 and have lost six of their last seven games dating back to last season. Green Bay was blown out 35-21 by Atlanta last Thursday, losing its home opener for the first time since 2012 while failing to cover as roughly five-point favorites. The Buccaneers are 0-3 after a 23-16 loss to the Vikings.
Rookie QB Jalon Daniels Replaces Baker Mayfield
Tampa Bay has now lost 12 of its last 14 games dating back to 2025. Starting quarterback Baker Mayfield will miss multiple weeks after suffering a broken thumb. Daniels played six seasons at Kansas from 2020 to 2025, appearing in 49 games with 45 starts. He completed 61.5 percent of his passes for 9,282 yards with 67 touchdowns and 31 interceptions, adding 1,439 rushing yards and 23 rushing scores.
Green Bay ranks dead last in the NFL in rushing at 48.7 yards per game after managing only 17 yards against the Falcons. The Packers had not rushed for fewer than 17 yards in a game since Dec. 26, 1999, when they had 12 against Tampa Bay. They are without Josh Jacobs, while Marshawn Lloyd has not found his rhythm and Kaleb Johnson and Chris Brooks are not moving the chains enough to earn larger workloads.
Packers Offense Relies Heavily on Jordan Love
With one of the league's lowest-rated offensive lines and little running game support, too much falls on Jordan Love. Love ranks third league-wide with 124 passing attempts through three games. Christian Watson has scored a touchdown in every contest, and Matthew Golden broke out with his first 100-yard receiving game against Atlanta. The Packers defense ranks 28th against the run and allows 266.7 passing yards per game.
Even with Micah Parsons sidelined, Lukas Van Ness and Edgerrin Cooper present a formidable pass rush. Green Bay has opened the season 0-3 against the spread. The Bucs passing attack has been undermined by an unstable offensive line that has allowed a league-high 13 sacks. Tampa Bay's best chance is attacking on the ground, where the team ranks 9th in rushing DVOA at 6.2 percent behind Bucky Irving and Kenny Gainwell.
Betting Tips Favor Packers With Over Option
Matt LaFleur and company earned their only victory in an overtime win against the Jets in Week 2. Tampa Bay's defense has been solid, and the Bucs pass rush should capitalize on Green Bay's struggles up front. The total sits at 39 points. The pick leans toward Green Bay getting back in the win column, though the Packers shaky defense and a Bucs rookie signal-caller could shorten the field, making the Over 39 an attractive play as well.
Todd Bowles and the Buccaneers fate may hinge on their undrafted rookie quarterback.
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nypost:Packers vs. Buccaneers prediction, odds Week 4: Tampa Bay’s miserable season gets worseThis story was compiled and edited by the HeadTopics newsroom and HT AI from the reports above.
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