Our Brewers vs. Cardinals predictions are fading Miles Mikolas in the strikeout department against a tough Milwaukee lineup.
Miles Mikolas has been one of the worst strikeout pitchers in baseball this season and we don't expect that to change against the Brewers this afternoon.
MLB odds have Milwaukee as a slight -120 betting favorite but our Brewers vs. Cardinals predictions will instead be fading one of the starting pitchers. Read more in ourHis underlying metrics are equally poor as the right-hander ranks in the 30th percentile or lower in xERA, xBA, and hard-hit rate. Specifically, we're going to fade him in the prop market as he ranks in the 46th percentile in chase rate, bottom percentile in whiff rate, and ninth percentile in strikeout rate.
You can currently find Peralta’s strikeout prop at 5.5, a total he's surpassed in 13 of his past 18 starts. If we're simultaneously fading St. Louis’ starting pitching while backing Milwaukee’s, then a highly correlated outcome would be for the Brewers to win outright.
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