Breakingviews - Bank of Japan stumbles into defensive minefield

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Breakingviews - Bank of Japan stumbles into defensive minefield
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War, Covid-19 and an aggressive-looking Federal Reserve are conspiring against the Bank of Japan’s ultra-loose monetary stance. The yen has plummeted and the central bank is struggling to keep control of key bond yields. Governor Haruhiko Kuroda must contemplate adjusting policy proactively, or watching market forces do it for him.

The core of Japan’s monetary strategy is a policy called “yield curve control” that caps treasury bond yields, some of them in negative territory. For a while it was effective, but major trading partners are now hiking rates as inflation spreads. In Japan, though, domestic prices are tame and GDP growth is tepid, so it’s senseless to follow suit.

anyway. Traders could just as easily attack that too. Alternatively a standing facility to buy unlimited 10-year bonds might intimidate the market. The most tempting option is to hope the yen finds a floor and bond speculators go away. But it’s dangerous to try to outwait market forces in an environment where so much has changed for good.The Japanese yen has weakened sharply against the dollar- The yield on the benchmark 10-year Japanese government bond hit a six-year high of 0.

- As a result, in an unprecedented intervention, the Bank of Japan offered to purchase an unlimited amount of the notes for four consecutive days after the yield touched 0.245% for the first time since January 2016. - The U.S. central bank may need to raise interest rates more aggressively to tackle high inflation, New York Federal Reserve President John Williams said on March 25. Several U.S. central bank officials, including Fed Chair Jerome Powell, indicated earlier this week a renewed sense of urgency in battling a surge in prices that has pushed inflation to a 40-year high.

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