Some of the PM's allies are confident he would win a confidence vote and then be safe until the next election. But one MP has told Sky News: 'The prime minister is in more danger than he thinks he's in, and more danger than the whips realise.'
Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video playerBut two interventions over the past 24 hours are particularly significant in showing how opinion appears to be shifting in the light of the Sue Gray report.
of the situation - concluding that he could not know whether the prime minister knowingly misled parliament but concluding that he should now resign regardless anyway for the tone he had set for others and damage to government institutions which has followed. What some see as the prime minister's triumphalist tone after the publication of the Sue Gray report - saying he had been"vindicated" - has also rankled.
Policies such as bringing back imperial measurements and axing the civil service fast stream have hardly improved the mood with MPs questioning"whose votes they are intending to win with this". If the threshold is met, MPs are expecting a lobbying campaign from Downing Street with the prime minister expected to offer jobs, knighthoods, trade envoy roles and any other inducements which could win wavering MPs round.And for the rebels there is a high risk of failure: Theresa May, of course, won a confidence vote in December 2018, although she went on to stand down months later after her Brexit strategy failed.
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