British Prime Minister Boris Johnson has lost Parliament. But he could still win a general election if enough voters approve of his determination to make Britain's departure from the European Union a reality.
British Prime Minister Boris Johnson has lost Parliament. But he could still win a general election if enough voters approve of his determination to make Britain's departure from the European Union a reality.
Parliament is now suspended — or prorogued — until Oct. 14, but once its session resumes, most scenarios lead to a cross-party agreement to hold an early election that would test Johnson's popularity outside Parliament's Gothic halls in London. Right now the next British election is not scheduled until 2022.
Parliament and opposition parties, meanwhile, will be cast as villains determined to thwart the will of the people with endless delays. It is too early to predict with clarity what shape a British election would take, since there are too many unknowns, especially about what coalitions could be formed. A key question is whether Johnson will seek an alliance with Nigel Farage's Brexit Party, which could unite Brexit backers.
"If he does a deal with Farage, and comes out in favor of 'no-deal' and Farage is ready to deal with him, that creates the potential of a winning coalition but contains the risk of splitting his own party," Curtice said. "Boris says the right thing, but can you trust him?" Bullock said."The one person you can trust is Nigel Farage, who has been consistently right about this all along. He said that the establishment would try to stop Brexit, and he's been absolutely right."
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