Newsletter| Professor of political studies at UCT, Anthony Butler, in this extract from an intricately woven biography of Cyril Ramaphosa, examine's the president's first term in office & predicts that the ANC will not see a new president until 2027
Anton Eberhard, a planning commissioner with whom Cyril Ramap
Corruption was meanwhile addressed by means of three commissions of inquiry into state capture, the revenue service and the Public Investment Corporation. At the start of 2019, more concrete policy proposals emerged from the Union Buildings, from steps to overhaul the basic education system, to skills development programmes, and faster labour-intensive growth in tourism, agriculture and the ocean economy.
It is difficult to see how former president Zuma’s cronies can launch a “fightback”. The ANC likes to imagine it has the power to “recall” a state president, but this alleged power is not found in the movement’s constitution. Zuma’s presidency began feebly in 2009. The new ANC leadership insisted that “collective decision making” would be the new norm. Pretty soon, however, Zuma was using party power to control the state, and state power to control the party.
Debate continues to rage about the likely impact Ramaphosa will have on the future of the country he now leads. Supporters of the president claim that his arrival in the Union Buildings represents a turning point for the nation. But the economic and political forces driving the National Party to negotiate were so powerful that any other leader would, sooner or later, have taken more or less the same steps.
If the American political system is indeed “foolproof”, as Hobsbawm claimed, this is because every leader is embedded in a strong system of institutional constraints. That may, of course, also represent his weakness. He has not yet pushed the limits of his personal power.
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