Three material hurdles are standing in the way of stocks returning to their winning ways: a rise in bond yields, oil prices and the dollar.
Investors can breathe a sigh of relief now that September — historically the worst month of the year for stocks — is in the rear-view mirror. This past September certainly lived up to its reputation, with the S & P 500 and the Nadsaq suffering its biggest monthly loss in 2023. However, changing the calendar may not be enough to erase three material hurdles standing in the way of stocks returning to their winning ways.
It's no surprise energy was the only positive sector of the 11 in the S & P 500 in September. The picture is less clear-cut when considering the impact higher oil prices can have on consumers and non-energy companies. Consumers needing to pay more at the gas pump, in theory, cuts into the money they have available to spend on discretionary goods — an important dynamic to watch given consumer spending makes up about two-thirds of U.S. economic activity.
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