Democrats are racing to New York to fortify what was once supposed to be the blue firewall safeguarding their slim House majority.
But after a redistricting plan that went awry and a national political climate in which Republicans are reaching into the blue states for potential gains, New York Democrats need some shoring up themselves.
To Democratic strategist Brad Bannon, the New York campaign blitz simply reflects the dynamics of the race, dominated by a tension between the fragile state of the economy and the Supreme Court’s reversal of Roe v. Wade. The 2020 census showed liberal New York City gaining population while more conservative parts of the state shrank or saw anemic growth, giving Albany Democrats a chance to redraw the map and dominate at least 22 of the remaining 26 districts, leading one elections prognosticator to predict “a bloodbath for Republicans.”
Outgoing Rep. Tom Reed said Democrats went too far when they tried to wipe out Republican seats in congressional redistricting, and courts were right to reject the maps. Stefanik, who heads the House Republican Conference, was even more upbeat about GOP chances in New York. Currently, Republicans hold eight of the 27 New York congressional seats. With redistricting, New York goes down to 26 seats next year, and she says the GOP has a shot of winning back the House through the Empire State by itself.
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