When compared to previous Bitcoin market cycles, the changes in the long and short-term holder supply cohort suggest that the worst of the bear market could have passed.
suggests that Bitcoin has built a strong foundation below the $30,000 level, and the current supply structure shows similarities to early 2016 and early 2019.
. In contrast, short-term holders , who acquired coins after FTX failed, have seen their supply balance of 2.914 million BTC remain relatively constant in 2023.By April 12, 155 days had passed since the FTX exchange collapsed on Nov. 8, 2022. The 155-day mark is crucial because it is the minimum length of time that a Bitcoin holder must have held their coins to be classified as a long-term holder .
It added that the supply structure also has similarities to early 2016 and early 2019. Notably, while Bitcoin’s price did not form new lows in 2016 and 2019, the actual bull run didn’t start for 18 to24 months in late 2020 and 2021. The period of parabolic rise usually witnesses a swift spike in the percentage of holdings on LTH in profit, followed by profit-taking.The year-to-date strength in Bitcoin’s price is supported by an “explosive uptick” in coins held at a profit.
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