Bitcoin: Clearing 50-Day SMA Could Provide the Spark for a Bullish Shift

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Bitcoin: Clearing 50-Day SMA Could Provide the Spark for a Bullish Shift
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Market Analysis by Dr. Arnout ter Schure covering: BTC/USD, Bitcoin. Read Dr. Arnout ter Schure 's Market Analysis on Investing.com

from late July, we were, correctly, looking for lower prices , we got more than we bargained for as prices reached $49K on August 5.Namely, what were the cleanest five waves up that we have seen in a while, after what appeared as a reasonably clear five waves lower were, however, not part of a new 1st wave up.This doesn’t mean the EWP doesn’t work; it simply means our assessment was wrong. Thus, we must go back to the drawing board.

The August 5 low was well below the more typical 38.20% retracement of the green W-3, which was reached in July, and thus, the Bulls were placed on watch. But all hope is not lost. Thus, BTC must clear that level to get any upside going. Please note the EWP count shown is one of several we are tracking.

That will allow a quick attack of the 200d SMA and a rally above the Ichimoku Cloud. If all that happens, the chart will turn from 80% Bearish to 40% Bullish, which will be a significant improvement.

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