The day ahead in crypto: Jan. 5, 2026
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If you're not already subscribed to the email,Major altcoins like XRP, SOL, BNB, and ETH have risen 1%-3% over the past 24 hours, with XRP up 2.49%, SOL up 1.27%, BNB up 0.54%, and ETH up 0.99%. The CoinDesk 20 Index rose 1.25%, reflecting strength in the biggest, most active assets, while the CoinDesk 80 Index shed early gains, signaling relative weakness in the broader altcoin market.safe-haven demand following the U.S. action in Venezuela and exhaustion in tax-related selling as key catalysts for bitcoin's price rise. Data from Deribit shows renewed trader demand for bullish option bets, predominantly the $100,000 strike call. "We noticed ETF inflows on January 2nd after consecutive outflows during December and 3000x lots of Jan-end BTC calls going through on the last day of December," Laser Digital told CoinDesk in an email. Over the weekend, the U.S. attacked Venezuela and captured President Nicolás Maduro. Since then, crypto social media has lit up withVenezuela may be controlling a substantial shadow BTC reserve, possible as large as that of bitcoin treasury company Strategy , which holds BTC worth over $62 billion. These claims remain unverified."The prospect of the U.S. adding any seized BTC to its own strategic reserve reduces the likelihood of forced selling and underscores BTC's rising strategic importance as nations compete to accumulate," QCP Capital said in a market note Monday. The other trending narrative is that President Donald Trump could soon tap into Venezuela's 300 billion barrels of oil reserves, boosting supply. This, in turn, could crash oil prices, allowing the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates more rapidly. However, having reserves and producing them in the first place are two different things. Several analysts said Venezuelan crude from the Orinoco Belt is heavy, impure sour crude, making it difficult and expensive to extract and refine, which requires huge investments. This means the reserves may not start flowing in the near future, limiting their impact on oil prices. In other words, the disinflationary impulse anticipated by BTC bulls may not materialize anytime soon. In other key news, Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin said the network has effectively solved the blockchain scalability trilemma, balancing decentralization, security and high transaction speed, with the help of key upgrades like zkEVMs and PeerDAS. In traditional markets, the dollar index rose for the fourth straight trading day, rising above 98.50. Futures tied to the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 traded higher. In the macroeconomy, we have a flurry of key U.S. data releases this week, starting with the ISM Manufacturing PMI later today, followed by the non-manufacturing PMI, the ADP Employment report, and nonfarm payrolls data in the days ahead. Stay alert!Jan. 5: Lighter to be listed on BTSE.ETH is up 1.28% at $3,168.94 Ether CESR Composite Staking Rate is down 2 bps at 3.05%Euro Stoxx 50 is up 1.79% at 5,900.01S&P/TSX Composite Index closed -0.37% at 31,883.40E-mini S&P 500 futures are up 0.21% at 6,914.75The chart shows BTC's yearly price swings in candlestick format. Ether closed 2025 lower, forming a candle with a long upper wick signaling bulls' failure to hold gains above $100K, mirroring 2024's pattern.Coinbase Global : closed on Friday at $236.53 , +4.15% at $246.35 in pre-marketGalaxy Digital : closed at $24.75 , +2.71% at $25.42MARA Holdings : closed at $9.91 , +3.43%at $10.25Core Scientific : closed at $15.99 , +1.13% at $16.17CoinShares Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners ETF : closed at $42.05 , +2.93% at $43.28Semler Scientific : closed at $17.78 , +4.89% at $18.65Upexi : closed at $1.91 , +5.24% at $2.01: The president singled out Colombia over drug trafficking, warned Mexico and Iran over security and unrest and again voiced his desire for the U.S. to take over Greenland.: Demand for January $100,000 call options spiked after December contracts expired, with open interest rising sharply over 24 hours as traders rebuilt upside exposure early in 2026.: Improving sentiment after year-end tax selling, alongside fresh ETF inflows and signs of defensive positioning, has led analysts to turn more constructive on the near-term outlook.: Regulatory clarity on stablecoins and a friendlier stance from U.S. agencies have pushed the accounting giant to expand auditing, consulting and tax services tied to digital assets.: Prices slipped as traders assessed whether U.S. control could eventually lift Venezuelan output and exports, even as the embargo and degraded infrastructure keep the near-term outlook uncertain.KuCoin captured a record share of centralised exchange volume in 2025, with more than $1.25tn traded as its volumes grew faster than the wider crypto market.for the year, signalling broad-based usage rather than reliance on a single product line., reinforcing KuCoin’s role as a primary liquidity venue beyond BTC and ETH at a time when majors saw more muted turnover. 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