MNF odds, picks, and predictions for Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets. NFL betting best bet and game analysis.
There are a lot of questions around the quality of quarterback Rodgers will be in New York. He's coming off a disappointing 2022 campaign in which the former MVP looked pedestrian for the Packers, and was very open with his frustrations with the franchise and the players around him.
However, since being dealt to New York, Rodgers seems reinvigorated and has a talented group of skill players around him, namely WR. Last year’s Offensive Rookie of the Year had an instant connection with Rodgers in camp and is projected for a sensational sophomore campaign. The Jets may not need MVP levels from Rodgers and the offense to be successful. Given how solid this New York defense is, just above-average support on the scoreboard is a big turnaround from last season when the offense finished 30th in EPA per play. Gang Green was one of the better teams on the other side of the ball in 2022, boasting the sixth-lowest EPA allowed per contest. The Jets have a great pass rush up front and a ball-hawking secondary, hoping that chaos can continue to disrupt opponents this season. The Bills' attack will be a test right out of the gate. Buffalo still has one of the better passing games in the land, headlined by QB Josh Allen and featuring a surplus of capable pass catchers. The Bills finished second in EPA per play and EPA per dropback in 2022 but did hit a snag against their division rivals. The Jets and Bills split their two matchups last season, with the New York defense excelling in both outings. Buffalo was checked to outputs of 17 and 20 points — two of just three games in which the Bills failed to score 21+ points — and Allen completed only 55.7% of his throws with one touchdown and two interceptions in those games with Gang Green. He lugged a 64.4 passer rating vs. New York. As for Buffalo’s defense, there is a transition in 2023 for this stop unit. Defensive coordinator Lezlie Frazier left the team this offseason and has dumped play-calling duties on head coach Sean McDermott. And while the Bills are projected to be a Top 10 defense, the linebacker corps is no longer the beating heart of this group. Long-time standout Tremaine Edmunds signed with Chicago and veteran LB Von Miller starts the season on the PUP list. Monday’s Over/Under total hit the board at 47 points back in the spring but has since slimmed to as low as 45, respecting the defenses on the field and accounting for a new Jets offense under new OC Nathaniel Hackett running at full speed for the first time., 58% of bets and 67% of the money is siding with the Under on Monday. These AFC East foes finished below the total in both matchups last year and have stayed Under the number in six of their last eight encounters overall.The Bills were road favorites in eight games in 2022, with those outings producing a 1-7 Over/Under mark. Find more
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