'Another thing that's clear to me is that the future of AI is not as grim as some people think or as rosy as others think,' Bill Gates wrote.
"For example, it will have a big impact on education, but so did handheld calculators a few decades ago and, more recently, allowing computers in the classroom," Gates wrote."Soon after the first automobiles were on the road, there was the first car crash. But we didn't ban cars — we adopted speed limits, safety standards, licensing requirements, drunk-driving laws, and other rules of the road," Gates wrote.
Gates is worried about some of the challenges arising from the adoption of the technology, including how it could change people's jobs, and"hallucination," or the propensity for models like ChatGPT to invent facts, documents, and people. For example, he cites the problem of deepfakes, which use AI models to allow people to easily make fake videos that impersonate another person, and which could be used to scam people or tip elections, he writes.
But he also suspects that people will get better at identifying deepfakes, and cites deepfake detectors being developed by Intel and DARPA, a government funder. He proposes regulation that would clearly outline what kind of deepfakes are legal to make. He also worries about the ability of AI-generated code to search for the kind of software vulnerabilities needed to hack computers, and suggests a global regulatory body modeled after the International Atomic Energy Agency.
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