Biden polling drag creates split-ticket openings in swing Senate races

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Biden polling drag creates split-ticket openings in swing Senate races
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Pennsylvania Senate Republican candidate Dave McCormick lays out plan to ensure the commonwealth turns red for both himself and Trump.

“Bob Casey has been the status quo; he’s voted with Biden 98% of the time,” McCormick said, speaking to thein an interview. “I’ve made huge progress on people getting to know me and that is being reflected in the polls.”

“ has not had any major legislative accomplishments, and people are deeply worried about the future of the country,” McCormick explained. “I think that lays the groundwork for an outsider who has had my background of experience in the military, in business, and so forth.

“Democrats would much, much, much prefer a popular president of the same party running for president. The coattails are very beneficial because we filter everything so much through a presidential lens,” Casey Burgat, the director of the Legislative Affairs Program at George Washington University’s Graduate School of Political Management, said.

“I think where I am in the polls is terrific. In the following sense, only about 50% of Pennsylvanians know who I am,” McCormick said. “For me to be where I am in the polls and for this race to be margin of error at this point, I think it’s a reflection of just how weak President Biden and Bob Casey are.”

“The general trend has been the past two presidential elections, only one Senate race in either year produced a split outcome, Susan Collins won in Maine, while Biden won Maine in 2020,” Kondik explained. “Prior to that it was pretty common for there to be split results in Senate races, Democrats won several Romney state Senate races in 2012 with incumbents, they even held an open seat with Heidi Heitkamp in 2012.

Instead of split-ticket voting, Burgat believes there is more likely to be gaps between the Biden performance and the Senate candidate performance because voters opt to not to participate in the presidential race or vote for a third-party candidate.

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