Trump holds a 21 percent advantage over Biden among Iowa men, 57 to 36 percent. But Biden holds a 20 percent lead over Trump among women voters, 57 to 37 percent.
This stark divide between men voting Republican and women voting Democrat is occurring in several other potential swing states including Texas, Florida and Michigan."I don't know that there's any race in the history of presidential polling in Iowa that shows this kind of division," said J. Ann Selzer, president of Selzer & Co., the firm that conducted the poll, in an interview with thepublished Tuesday."We've had two polls in a row putting it very, very close.
Trump carried Iowa four years ago by nine percentage points during the 2016 election against Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton. But now Biden has tightened the race to neck-and-neck along with several other states which the GOP candidate handily won in 2016. Exit polling conducted by CNN found Trump carried Iowa's male voters, with nearly twice as many men voting for him over Clinton. And although Clinton carried the state's women voters, she did so by only seven percentage points—a much smaller margin than Biden's support in 2020. Among married women, Biden holds a seven percentage point lead, but among unmarried women, two-thirds are in support of the Democratic candidate over Trump.
"If Biden wins, it's because women are steering the ship," Selzer told the local Des Moines newspaper Tuesday.,"for the first time in my life, I'm just voting a straight Democratic ticket." She went on to note that she believes Republicans are running on a platform of"exclusion" against women, minorities and others outside the white male framework.
Canvasing volunteers for Democratic presidential candidate former Vice President Joe Biden pass through a mezzanine walkway ahead of a caucus event for Democratic presidential candidate former South Bend, Indiana Mayor Pete Buttigieg, on February 3, 2020 at Drake University in Des Moines, United States. Iowa is the first contest in the 2020 presidential nominating process with the candidates then moving on to New Hampshire.
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