Iain MacMillan breaks down how he's betting $100 on Friday night's Sweet 16 action.
Welcome to day 82 of betting $100 a day every day for a year and also happy Blue Jays opening day for those of you who celebrate, my fellow Canadians.The only one we missed out on.Uh, but we hit the other three including Illinois to upset Houston.
93.Listen, we got a long summer of baseball picks coming up. Uh, we got 4 Sweet 16 games tonight and since I did well with the Sweet 16 picks last night, I'm just gonna stick to the same strategy, uh, and just take, uh, 4 college basketball plays for tonight starting.Uh, we all know by now that Saint John's has a shooting issue.They're 197th in the country in effective field goal percentage. What they can do, uh, is they can beat teams with their defense, but unfortunately, when they're taking on Duke, they don't have that defensive advantage.The Blue Devils lead the country in defensive efficiency. So that advantage gets nullified and then you look at shooting, you look at the offensive numbers and Duke has a pretty big advantage.My 2nd play for tonight is $25 on Alabama plus $9.5 million against Michigan.I think you can shoot the ball against, uh, shoot the 3 ball against this Michigan team and that's obviously gonna play a big role because Alabama leads the entire country in 3-point shot rate.Uh, I think that's gonna keep them from really being able to pull away in this game. I don't know if Alabama can pull off the upset, uh, but I'm gonna take the 9.5 points with the Crimson Tide and hope their 3-point shooting gets hot like it did against Texas Tech.Both these teams are better defensively and offensively.35th and 13th in, uh, uh, 35th and 66th in effective field goal percentage but then 13th and 40th in defensive efficiency. Uh, they also ranked, uh, near the bottom, uh, of college basketball in adjusted tempo, 243rd and 30, 322nd. Uh, and I also think both these legendary coaches, Dan Hurley, Tom Izzo, I think they're, they're gonna draw up some good defensive game plans.5 between Michigan State and UConn.$25 on that as well.Uh, Iowa State was my pick to win the national championship heading into the tournament.I think their offensive numbers suffer a little bit, but what's most important is they're 219th in, in the country in turnovers per possession. If they can't, Uh, if they can't stop turning the ball over, that's gonna cost them against Iowa State, uh, which that is their biggest strength is forcing turnovers.I'm a little concerned about the free throw shooting.Hopefully, that doesn't come back to haunt them at the end of the game.I still think Iowa State for some reason is, uh, is being extremely undervalued in the, uh, betting market.Best luck to all of your bets.
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