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The Boston Red Sox took the first game of the series yesterday from the Tampa Bay Rays. Boston was able to fight back despite a dominant performance from Aaron Civale.
Boston has massively outperformed expectations at the dish this season. The Red Sox come into tonight with a .264 team batting average, which is the third-highest in baseball, despite only having three qualified hitters with above-average hard-hit rates. Their impending regression will begin tonight as they have to contend with Zach Eflin. Eflin has been a revelation for the Rays this season, as he’s become one of the toughest guys to square up in baseball.He has displayed impeccable command of his arsenal and forces hitters to take whatever they get from him. His chase rate sits in the 92nd percentile and he generates soft ground balls with his sinker and cutter.
However, the issue is that the majority of the Rays’ lineup is inconsistent, and their contact metrics suggest sizable regression. In steps Kutter Crawford, a pitcher with a similar profile to his counterpart tonight.
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