NFL predictions, picks, and odds for Cincinnati Bengals vs Tennessee Titans. NFL Week 4 betting best bet and game analysis.
The Bengals were 1.5-point favorites on the look-ahead and reopened at -2.5. Joe Burrow continues to deal with that calf injury but he didn’t have any setbacks in Week 3’s win over the Rams and will likely have to play with the pain for the entirety of the season. He wasn’t great on Monday and has a short week, but things are looking better in Cincy and the Bengals can move to 2-2 if the defense takes advantage of a great matchup in Week 4.
The Titans’ offense is one of the weakest in football. Without a spry Derrick Henry to lean on, this offense has no identity. Tannehill has been one of the worst passers through three weeks facing Cleveland, New Orleans, and the Chargers. He is getting sacked constantly which is up from last year’s 2.75 sacks per game where a lot of that has to do with more long passing situations thanks to a poor run game.
Tannehill is completing a decent 62.5% of his third- and fourth-down passes but still ranks 27th in success rate and converts third downs at a 27% clip good for 30th in the league. This is not an offense built to play behind the sticks and with all the sacks being given up, it’s nearly impossible for this offense to be efficient.
I certainly lean on the Bengals at -2 and up to -2.5. Burrow is learning to deal with the calf injury more and more every week and got Ja’Marr Chase heavily involved last week. That could help vs. a Titans secondary that could be without starting corner Sean Murphy-Bunting. The total has already taken some Under money as this was as high as 44 on the look-ahead and bet down to as low as 41. Neither offense projects to move up and down the field and the pace of play from Tennessee certainly favors the Under. However, a three-point drop from the look-ahead is significant and likely something I’m off as the value ship has left the docks.
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