Our Baylor vs. Iowa State predictions don't expect these offenses to put up many points against one another.
Baylor can't move the ball, and Iowa State plays offense like a group of snails. Sounds like a great recipe for an Under.
They’ve also faced two of the better defenses in college football in Utah and BYU. The game at Utah was the last time Baylor had a quarterback other than Sawyer Robertson, but the junior may find it difficult to find success against On the other side, Iowa State will face its toughest defense yet. The Bears rank Top 30 in EPA/rush, early downs EPA, and defensive third-down success. That’s not going to stop the Cyclones from running the ball, who operate at one of the slowest paces in college football with a 55.6% run rate.
Combine all these factors, and you have the perfect conditions for a low-scoring affair. The total has come down two points since opening, but it’s still too high for my liking. Back the Under to hit for the 11th time in Iowa State’s last 13 home games. Baylor’s defense has faced three Power 4 teams already this season. The quarterbacks for Utah, Colorado, and BYU all threw multiple touchdown passes against a defense struggling to stop teams in the red zone.
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