An earthquake with a magnitude of around 7 is likely to hit the San Francisco Bay Area in the next 10 years, according the US Geological Survey, and when it does, Alameda may be hardest hit.
reveals that despite efforts to protect the island city and its 80,000 residents, the largely man-made island is at risk of devastation when the"Big One" hits.
“All those apartment houses along the South Shore, that’s all soup,” Dennis Evanosky, a longtime resident and community historian told the outlet, referring to the southern and western portions of island. “...that’s all man-made land. All of it. Including schools.”— the devastating effect of shaking ground on loosely packed landfill, causing it to behave like liquid — will be familiar to those who remember the 1989 Loma Prieta earthquake.
The center of Alameda Island is built on rock, but the majority of land closer to the water is built on clay and mud pulled from the bay in the 1920s to construct what's now Naval Air Station Alameda and the surrounding residential neighborhoods. A major quake on the San Andreas Fault, that runs through San Francisco and caused the 1906 disaster, typically occurs every 200 years. The Hayward Fault, however, that runs through the East Bay, historically sees a major quake
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