Australian dollar nears a tipping point thanks to ultra-low rates

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Australian dollar nears a tipping point thanks to ultra-low rates
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FX traders are starting to look Down Under as a place to source cheap funds. FMTNews Australian

SYDNEY: A decade-long slide in Australian interest rates is threatening to turn one of the global currency market’s most popular wagers on its head.

It’s quite a snub for a nation in its 29th year of economic expansion, and comes as policy makers struggle to counter the financial impact of drought, wildfires and the coronavirus. The Australian dollar has climbed the rankings of funding currencies to be one of the most efficient to pair against the peso, according to Adam Cole, Royal Bank of Canada’s currency strategy chief for Europe.

A decade ago, China’s rampant demand for Australian commodities exports propped it up while other nations faltered. Today the relationship looms as a huge risk. This could then force it into an asset purchase program known as quantitative easing — a path followed by Japan and Europe — and something once regarded as unthinkable in Australia.

Deutsche Bank AG’s Tim Baker agrees. “I don’t think the world is so desperate for funding currencies that Australia’s becomes one,” said Baker, a macro strategist for the bank in Sydney.

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