AUD/USD Forecast: Corrective decline could extend to 0.6650

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AUD/USD Forecast: Corrective decline could extend to 0.6650
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AUD/USD built on losses recorded at the beginning of the week and receded to fresh two-week lows in the 0.6715-0.6710 band on Tuesday.

AUD/USD kept a bearish tone in the first half of the week. Extra gains in the US Dollar weighed on the risk complex. The Westpac Leading Index and the RBA ’s Simon are due next. The pair's second daily pullback came in tandem with further gains in the US Dollar , despite declining US yields and market chatter signalling that a rate cut by the Fed in September appears almost fully priced in.

There is about a 25% chance of a rate cut in August, increasing to around 50% in the subsequent months. Potential easing by the Fed in the medium term, in contrast to the RBA’s likely prolonged restrictive stance, could support AUD/USD in the coming months. However, concerns about the slow momentum in the Chinese economy might hinder a sustained recovery of the Australian currency as China continues to face post-pandemic challenges.

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