Asian shares inch higher, BOJ battles bond bears

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Asian shares inch higher, BOJ battles bond bears
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Asian shares edged higher on Monday as investors waited nervously to see whether the Bank of Japan (BOJ) would defend its super-sized stimulus policy at a pivotal meeting this week, while a holiday in U.S. markets made for thin trading.

EUROSTOXX 50 futures added 0.6%, while FTSE futures put on 0.1%. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq futures were flat, after a Wall Street bounce last week.

The BOJ's official two-day meeting ends Wednesday and speculation is rife it will make changes to its yield curve control policy given the market has pushed 10-year yields above its new ceiling of 0.5%.The BOJ bought almost 5 trillion yen of bonds on Friday in its largest daily operation on record, yet yields still ended the session up at 0.51%.

"Although domestic demand has started to recover and inflation continues to rise, the economy is not heating up to the extent that a sharp rise in interest rates and potential risk of large yen appreciation can be tolerated," they added. "Thus, we think the economic environment does not strongly support consecutive policy changes."The BOJ's uber-easy policy has acted as a sort of anchor for yields globally, while dragging down on the yen.

Futures now imply almost no chance the Fed will raise rates by half a point in February, with a quarter-point move seen as a 94% probability. "The lower inflation itself encourages a soft landing through real wage gains, by allowing the Fed to more readily pause and encouraging a better behaved bond market, with favourable spillovers to financial conditions," Ruskin said.

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